Week 5 in NFL picks and Method to da Madness

Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog

10/10 1:00 ET At Baltimore -7.5 Denver

10/10 1:00 ET At Buffalo -1.5 Jacksonville

10/10 1:00 ET At Indianapolis -6.5 Kansas City

10/10 1:00 ET At Detroit -2.5 St. Louis

10/10 1:00 ET Atlanta* -2.5 At Cleveland

10/10 1:00 ET At Cincinnati -6.5 Tampa Bay

10/10 1:00 ET At Carolina* -2.5 Chicago

10/10 1:00 ET Green Bay* -2.5 At Washington

10/10 1:00 ET At Houston* -2.5 NY Giants

10/10 4:05 ET New Orleans* -6.5 At Arizona

10/10 4:15 ET San Diego -7.5 At Oakland

10/10 4:15 ET At Dallas -6.5 Tennessee

10/10 8:20 ET At San Francisco -2.5 Philadelphia

Monday Night Football Point Spread


10/11 8:35 ET At NY Jets -3.5 Minnesota*

* Parlay choices.

Baltimore - 7.5 Broncos. They say in baseball that good pitching always beats good hitting, well, in football great defence may win you championships, but dont necessarily cover high spreads. The parity is this league right now is just at a level i haven't seen watching football for the last 25 seasons in the NFL. More than a TD is too much, you know coach McDaniel's will have a great game plan ready for the Ravens, and as good as the Baltimore has been, i just cant see how this game is more than a one score game. Take the broncos, look for alot of screens, draws, crossing patterns, seem plays, and most of all for them to work the clock and keep this game close. The scary part here could be, the Ravens D lights up Orton and knocks him out of the game, or for the Ravens Offence to finally take the step into their evolution with the additions of Hous and Boldin. Still my odds are on parity and the Broncos -7.5

Buffalo-1.5 Jags. When bad teams play each other, i like to go with the hotter team, and the underdog. The Jags are such a schizo team that they are like a 80 year old dementia resident that seems to win the lottery one week, and forget where they put the ticket the week later when they go to cash it in. The Bills, were really bad against the Jets last week, as i told you that spread was a joke. Bills wont be a joke this week, they will be harder to play against, and could get their 1st win. However, i stick to my rule that i started this paragraph with, take the Jags plus the points, cuz their hotter and a better team right now.

Colts -6.5 Chiefs. Some spreads have the Colts favourite by even more than 8 points, and that's alot of points. Listen this team aint the Bears of smoked salmon and duck tape, this team is a good team, great, no not yet, but good. It will be interesting to see how that old Pats coaches play Manning, but you know Payton is money after a loss, and when his team is 2-2. The problem is can the Colts stop the Chiefs weapons on the run game. The other wildcard factor is the special teams which favors the Chiefs again, i like a TD spread, more than that, i think your pushing it, take the Colts on my spread only -6.5!

Rams - 2.5 Lions. Well, well, the Rams have been good to me haven't they. I told ya last week that this team is growing, and the Lions are growing as well, but at much slower rate than the Rams. i like the Rams again here cuz they have just played really well, and they are starting to really believe what the coach is preaching. Bradford, is looking calm already, and that's scary for the opposition when a rookie QB starts to look cool, it reminds me of Matty Ice of the falcons in his 1st year. Take Rams.

Falcons - 2.5 Browns. Hey the browns have really started to play well ever since their moral win over the Ravens in which they realized that if they can run the ball against them they must be better than their record. Now, the Falcons, are looking sexxxy as my NFC pick as the dirty bird that could fly into the superbowl, yes they are that good. When you can run the ball the way they do, and the QB they have who reminds me more and more of a steady veteran, i take these guys without blinking against the Browns. Falcons, take them, and use them for parlay.

Panthers -2.5 Bears. I told you last week that the Giants would kill the Bears up front, as this team has been lucky to be undefeated. Well, I'm telling u again this week, the Bears will make adjustments, but they will get beat down again. Why? You cant hide a bad o-line! Its like trying to hide evidence from a forensic investigator, sure you can sway them for a while, but soon as they close the lights, u know that DNA will appear. The lights get turned out again this week by more than 2.5 points for the Bears, the only wild card factor is if one of these QB's not called Cutler, somehow realized that his O-line is weak. Take Panthers and use them for parlay.

Packers -2.5 Redskins. You know what Ive finally realized about McNabb? Its that he has never and will never be in the conversation of the games best QB's. But, he is the start of the next conversation after the premiere guys. Packers? Didn't get the RB they need, haven't gotten the O-line help they need. Packers offence is too lethal, and they still haven't shown it, i like the Pack to rebound after a weak 2nd half against the Lions last week, why u ask? Rodgers in the red zone in his career? 40 TD's and 2 INT's! Take Pack!

Houston -2.5 Giants. Giants aren't that good, especially that performance you say last week. It was that the Bears are that bad. Look for the Texans to be able to run the ball, something the g-men haven't fixed is their linebackers, can u even think of one guy? Texans are for real, and they need to keep showing it against once upon of teams, if they want the division. Take Texans.

Saints -6.5 Cards. I know the Saints don't have their rb's, and they haven't scored points at last year clip, and they are suffering from a superbowl hangover, but have i mentioned that the Cards have lost every game when it comes to the spread, and that they have some young QB starting. Look the Saints D, is going to blitz, and the Cards are going to turn it over, i like the Aints, to start playing like the Saints, and win this one big! Take Saints.

Chargers -7.5 Raiders. This is the problem of the Chargers Ive been taking about all season. I'm 4-0 when picking their games, cuz for some reason, its been easy to select a rhythm of good game, bad game. Well, its bad game time, and i know the Raiders are unpredictable, so welcome to the NFL. Raiders, take them plus a TD is to many points.

Cowboys -6.5 Titans. The boys, had the week off, and they finally won a game. They will win this game, but this is a team that cant cover high spreads, cuz they never really do with Romo at QB. Plus, CJ28 and Young, are wild card factors i like that keep a game close. Look for play-action, and the deep ball for the Titans to get some points. Take Titans.

49ers -2.5 Eagles. U know how much i like the Eagles, right? But, that's not when Kevin 'where's the corn on' Kolb is playing QB. He needs to play more like a harvest, i think he will play better this week, but Eagles just have too many injuries, and no Vicks. The 49ers, damm, can u please step up and win a game. This guys just need to take a breath, relax man, and they will win a game. U know i grew up watching Singletary and his intense eyes, but sometimes in football too much intensity makes u tight, so loosen up big Mike, take the boys to the movies. I like the 49ers, its an odds thing, but don't bet the house on it. 49ers yes.

Jets 3.5 Vikes.You know i like the Jets, i took them last year to beat the Chargers, and they are a hell of a football team. But, Randy Moss, and Monday nite with Favre, look for this Vikes team to regain its form of last year, and beat the Jets, they Vikes just need this game more, its like the reason i took the Jets to beat the phins a few weeks back. Yes Vikes! Go Randy!


Panto!
Overall 36-28!